texas hold em. possibilty to become the third card when you have a pair on your hand. 52 cards has the whole game. 2 of them i have on my hand (for example a pair of aces) so there are 50 cards out. 5 cards dealed to the table. i do it this way. seems wrong because i am a math noob :) : 52 - 2 = 50 # two cards are already on my hand 50 / 2 = 25 # because there are 2 aces left outside my hand 25 / 5 = 5 # 5 cards dealt to the table so for me i have a 1:5 chance to get the third ace. and thats 20%! my poker calculation programm says to me that there is only a chance of 12%. how do i calculate that???